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The Moscow Times Moscow Guide – Winter 2008

Since the middle of autumn one of the most important topics of discussion, could only be … no, not the financial crisis… New Year! The winter issue of The Moscow Times Moscow Guide is entirely devoted to New Years celebrations. Seven great ideas for celebrating the “Night of Nights” will help readers finalise their plans and choose how and where to party, give fresh ideas and lots of practical advice.

And don’t forget – problems will come by themselves, but happiness and luck need an invitation. That why the more cheerful and light-hearted your celebration of the coming holiday is, the happier and more successful 2009 will be for you.

The Crisis: Signs of a Kremlin Fearful Of Unrest
Sociologist Yevgeny Gontmakher has painted a disturbing picture of what might emerge from the financial crisis, forecasting continued unemployment, huge protests and spreading violence.

Market Matters: Huge Grain Harvest No Boon for Farmers
This year Russia is enjoying the biggest grain harvest it has ever seen -- and farmers couldn't be more worried.



Thursday, January 08, 2009 Updated at 31 December 2008 22:36 Moscow Time.

The Moscow Times » Issue 4031 » Opinion

Obama's Skin Color and Other Myths

14 November 2008By Boris KagarlitskyMy daughter gets terribly offended whenever my wife and I, in good Soviet style, refer to the children's club where she spent the fall holidays as a "pioneer camp." But unlike anything from the Soviet period, the camp counselors woke up my daughter and her campmates in the early morning hours of Nov. 5 with the exuberant shout, "Girls, wake up! Barack Obama won the U.S. election!"

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Many Russian political analysts sounded a very different note. Alexei Chadayev, for example, wrote: "The black voters cast their ballots without thinking. The victory of democracy and tolerance in the United States is a sham. Obama won simply because of the black majority that voted for his skin color and not his views or policies."

I suspect that this type of statement would be considered racist in the West. At the very least, it is dead wrong. Blacks have never constituted a majority in the United States, and even if the Latino population were added, the aggregate sum would still represent a minority of voters. The truth is that the majority of Americans who voted for Obama were not black.

Not only do our pundits have a distorted view of what is happening overseas, they are detached from domestic realities as well. Most public opinion surveys indicate that the Obamamania that swept Western Europe has also seized Russia -- at least as far as the general population is concerned. In a survey conducted by the pro-Kremlin Internet newspaper Vzglyad, about 80 percent of respondents said they would have voted for Obama had they been able to participate in the U.S. presidential election.

Most Russians view Obama as a politician who offers a new opportunity to improve U.S.-Russian relations. The only caveat is if Obama picks his future Cabinet from the group of hawkish foreign policy advisers who were part of his election campaign. If this happens, it would likely mean a continuation of the same cold bilateral relations that we have experienced over the past eight years.

But Obama will surely pick a broad range of foreign policy specialists, many of whom will be realists who share his views on a multilateral approach to global affairs in general and U.S.-Russian relations in specific. In this way, Obama's victory marks a radical turning point in politics. He has no other choice now but to pursue a new course and to bring the American people along for the ride.

This applies to social and economic areas as well. Even if his chief economic advisers are zealots of laissez-faire economics, Obama will still be forced to continue the interventionist policies that President George W. Bush's administration adopted during the outbreak of the financial crisis, if only because other options don't exist.

Americans intuitively understood the need for change and renewal, and they responded to it at the voting booth. Now the battle begins over exactly what changes need to be implemented.

By contrast, Russians are more afraid of change, and there is nothing in the air to indicate that they see a necessity for sweeping reforms. But as a result of the drop in global oil prices and the country's financial difficulties, which will only get worse in 2009, there is clearly an objective need for fundamental change.

In these volatile conditions, it is the Russian elite, as well as the country's analysts and ideologues, who are the least prepared for serious changes.

Boris Kagarlitsky is the director of the Institute of Globalization Studies. Word's Worth by Michele A. Berdy will return to this spot next week.